Investment Updates
Optimistic Again, Will A Fed Algorithm Be Right Again?
Published Friday, February 10, 2023 at: 8:44 PM EST
A Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta algorithm indicates the economy is growing +2.2% this quarter, while a survey of leading economists predicts the economy will shrink about three-tenths of 1%.
Consensus forecasts by economists are far from perfect. However, for years human forecasters have been more reliable than the GDPNow algorithm. In fact, over the years, GDPNow’s computer-driven forecast has been wildly wrong at times.
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